Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
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36
Ṁ21k2028
20%
Starship reaches space in 2023 AND A human lands on the Moon by 2028
75%
Starship reaches space in 2023 AND No human lands on the Moon by 2028
3%
Starship does not reach space in 2023 AND A human lands on the Moon by 2028
2%
Starship does not reach space in 2023 AND No human lands on the Moon by 2028
This is a "market for markets".
Artemis III is the only crewed Moon landing scheduled for before 2028, but there have been fears that if Starship is delayed the mission may not fly.
The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@calderknight asked on discord. You're right for now.
@0482 Please do!
If your bot can also take advantage of more complex things, I'll pay a (currently fairly small) bounty for it: https://manifold.markets/EvanDaniel/arb-bots-for-confident-markets
@0482 If you do this, I will managram you 5000 from the tournament account to run the bot through December (in addition to whatever bounty you get from @EvanDaniel).
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