Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
36
2.7kṀ21k2028
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
14%
Starship reaches space in 2023 AND A human lands on the Moon by 2028
82%
Starship reaches space in 2023 AND No human lands on the Moon by 2028
1.9%
Starship does not reach space in 2023 AND A human lands on the Moon by 2028
1.7%
Starship does not reach space in 2023 AND No human lands on the Moon by 2028
This is a "market for markets".
Artemis III is the only crewed Moon landing scheduled for before 2028, but there have been fears that if Starship is delayed the mission may not fly.
The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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