Will Starship go to the Moon before 2027?
24
Ṁ1kṀ10k2027
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Starship does any of the following:
Lands on the Moon
Crashes into the Moon
Enters Lunar orbit
Enters a halo orbit associated with the L1 or L2 Earth–Moon Lagrange points.
The landing/crashing or orbital insertion must take place prior to 2027, local time at the launch site from which the flight launched.
The following will not be sufficient for a YES resolution:
Lunar gravity assists
Free return trajectories
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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