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@jack wording so unclear, want my mana bacl pls

@ChrisMillsc5f7 the answer wording is a shorthand for the description which is perfectly clear. The title is also clear, although admittedly long.

@jack where is the description?

This is a two-part question. It resolves according to the resolutions of:

Note one is 2024 and one 2025. This is intended to predict potential paths to a broader war, and is part of a series of markets about how one short term possible event (Hezbollah-Israel conflict) could affect one longer term possible event (US-Iran war)

I've edited the answers to shorten them further, which I think actually makes it less confusing by making it clearer that it's just shorthand.

@jack it’s up to 182 this morning

@datachef this is deaths by 2024, so the deaths in current rounds of fighting don't count

@ShakedKoplewitz Lol I missed that when looking at the market, but yes, two of the answers just are impossible now. Thanks for your comment!

@1941159478 shit

@datachef I really wish we could resolve options NO on these multi choice markets 😕

I'll edit the answers to put the year in to help avoid this confusion

@jack my eyes got so big when I first saw nothing could have stopped me. Well maybe if it was real money haha. Thanks!

@jack 100 dead yesterday alone.

How is the prospect of an Israel Hezbollah war this low, the market on the probability of a direct war is at 72% right now

Oh I misread it, that conflict has to have already happened

Correct. Half the options are now impossible

@jack is the market supposed to say before 2025 for both conflicts?

No. One is 2024 and one 2025.

This was part of a series of markets about how one short term possible event (Hezbollah-israel conflict) could affect one longer term possible event (us-iran war)

4000 Mana boost applied!