Will Gemini be released before 2024? x Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
50
3.6kṀ57k
resolved Jan 7
100%98%
Gemini released before 2024 AND GPT-5 not released before 2025
1.7%
Gemini released before 2024 AND GPT-5 released before 2025
0.4%
Gemini not released before 2024 AND GPT-5 released before 2025
0.4%
Gemini not released before 2024 AND GPT-5 not released before 2025

This is a conditional derivative market for these two markets:

It will resolve exactly according to the resolution of those two markets.

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@metacontrarian could we get a confirmation for this market that Gemini is considered "released"? There have been some surprising rulings in a few other markets.

bought Ṁ200 YES

@HenriThunberg resolves according to the markets listed.

Lol we were racing

https://manifoldcorrelation.streamlit.app/?type=multi&slug=will-gemini-be-released-before-2024&x=Gemini+Released+before+2024&y=GPT5+Released+before+2025&swap=true&order=0&embedded=true

4000 Mana boost applied!

Attempting to gauge the arms race dynamic.

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