Will Starship reach space in 2023?
409
13kṀ290k
resolved Nov 18
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if SpaceX Starship reaches an altitude of at least 100km (the Karman line definition of space) in 2023, otherwise NO.

This question is about vehicle designs descended from the existing designs of Starship - i.e. if they make substantial changes or rename the vehicle, it still counts. But a vehicle based on e.g. the Falcon 9 would not count, even if SpaceX called it a Starship.

(This question's criteria is chosen to be less ambiguous than the questions about whether it reaches orbit, where it is unclear whether a planned borderline-orbital test flight, with perigee within the atmosphere, counts as orbital.)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ16,899
2Ṁ2,661
3Ṁ1,388
4Ṁ1,373
5Ṁ934
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy