The base rate for unpopular languages is much lower than what this market predicts FYI!

I only included languages with more than 1% reported usage in 2023, but I am happy to add options if requested!

@jgyou With only 20 people in this market, it’s bound to be pretty course. 1 upvote will end up being like 5% right?

@jgyou So would I need to downvote Ruby by like 65 in order to get it back to 4%? If it turned out to be around there, would I then win 65? So confused.

If Ruby ends up with 4% of developers, this market will get "frozen" at 4% and you'll get to keep the mana you made by moving the market to 4%.

@jgyou But if it was 5% I would get nothing?

@ChuckLauerVose Resolving to prob just freezes the market and returns mana at the price implied by the resolution probability. So you'd get most of your mana back, probably with some profit if you moved it from, say, 10% down to 4%.