What % of respondents to this question will believe "UFOs are alien spacecraft" on January 1, 2030?
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@MikeElias Is this a self-resolving market? Does it resolve by some other mechanism, and if so what? Can it resolve now either way?
If it is self-resolving, I'd recommend you consider other options in the future, these tend not to do what you want: https://manifold.markets/post/selfresolving-markets-why-they-dont
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