February 2023: Will Russia lose more than 145,000 troops?
7
6
150
resolved Feb 28
Resolved
YES

Will resolve to YES if in February 2023, the Ukrainian estimate of Russia's losses reaches 145,000 troops.

https://www.instagram.com/kyivindependent_official

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bought Ṁ50 of YES

(145000 − n) ÷ (28 + 1 − d)

01-31, 603.45 per day

predicted YES

02-02, 591.48 per day

predicted YES

02-04, 576.4

02-06, 558.26

predicted YES

02-08, 519.05

02-10, 487.37

bought Ṁ10 of YES