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Dec 30
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Will resolve to YES, if at any point before the end of 2024, Ukrainian forces control majority of Crimea territory

resolution source: Institute for the Study of War, https://www.understandingwar.org/

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Should probably have larger separation from

predicts YES

@MartinRandall cause atm it's implying a very small chance of them taking it in 2024.

predicts NO

@Daniel_MC That sounds about right to me.