Added a question with more clearly defined criteria: https://manifold.markets/nsokolsky/will-russia-mobilize-at-least-100k-7b10d4ccb93b#5RYvcPTm4WLCJxeEGGi9

Note that mobilization in Russia never actually ended from legal perspective, they just stopped taking people en masse, so the question isn't whether Russia resumes mobilization or whether Putin declares it, but whether they start taking people en masse (at least tens of thousands) again.

@Grey8d2be could you please write a resolution criteria? Because if this question is about "10k+ people join the Russian army in 2024", it should be more like 95%. In 2023 it was more then 100k