Will the Apple Vision Pro go on sale before the end of January, 2024?
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resolved Jan 9
Resolved
NO

Pacific Time.

Goes on sale anywhere in the world to end-users, not developers.

At the time of creation of market, it was assumed that the orders will be in-person only. If that's the case, no problems.

If that turnss out not to be the case, and that users can purchase the product online as well, then it would count if orders are possible via the apple website. Note that these must not be "pre-orders" but actual orders of the product for it to count.

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predicted NO

The sale is still since February the 2nd, correct? The only thing that one can do is pre-order, i think, right?

@firstuserhere Just pre-order.

predicted NO

@firstuserhere Can only consider it a sale when the product gets delivered. Even if Apple charges your credit card (perhaps when it ships) it will not record the sale until it transfers possession to the buyer.

predicted NO

@deagol Thank you, that's helpful

reposted

Ouch

Anyone mind me resolving this early since we've got Tim Cook saying it's Feb 2?

bought Ṁ3,163 of NO

@SirCryptomind And I'm assuming US is the place it goes on sale first. I think we should be good resolving this early. I'll do that in a few hours if there are no objections.

@firstuserhere Yup, US release is first ; already got my email from Apple to get ready to order.

bought Ṁ93 of NO

Tim Cook just announced it will go on Sale Feb 2nd
https://twitter.com/tim_cook/status/1744362067786682797

Related market on whether the Vision pro sells 500k units before the EOY

bought Ṁ10 of NO

He goes on, “The device is already shipping in small quantities to warehouses across the US before distribution to Apple retail stores, with the company believing it’ll have enough supply stateside by the end of January for a launch by February.”

Apple Vision Pro Release Date: To Be Confirmed Any Minute Now, Insider Claims

If it doesn't go on sale i.e. available for customers to purchase, will it go on sale in Feburary?

bought Ṁ9 of YES

I am hearing rumors of January 26

predicted NO

@TrentonPotter article is doubtful of validity

Presales count? Or that we should be able to buy it in store right away?

@Fatih I remember, vaguely, some statement from Apple that customers will only be able to buy it in-person from the stores. Is that no longer the case? (i.e. they're exclusively available in the stores, for adjustment of the headband and to ensure proper fitting)

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@firstuserhere Oh i wasnt aware of that. But i guess this is confirmation that we will only consider that option. The possibility of owning a vision pro during January?

@Fatih that's right

@firstuserhere Am I interpretting this thread correctly that "online orders don't count"?

@Panfilo I guess if you will receive them within January it would still count. But i understand apple will not do that anyway

@ftkurt

Yep. i don't think Apple is doing that, they want to do in person sales. The risk with counting online orders is that Apple may not ship to anyone before February, causing controversy over interpretation of a "sale". Hence, easier to not count it beforehand. Plus it's not like it's happening anyway

bought Ṁ8 of NO

@firstuserhere

some statement from Apple that customers will only be able to buy it in-person from the stores

here’s what Tim Cook said 2 months ago:

I think might be online order with in-store pickup. So I think you’re saying you’ll resolve based on the pickup date, not the order date.

@deagol Hm, I was not aware of that. If that indeed is the case, then the most right thing to do seems to include online orders too. The description does say

Goes on sale anywhere in the world to end-users

and the most common-sense interpretation of that is that if one can order the product, then it should qualify.

predicted NO

@firstuserhere well I said “I think” they’d do online with pickup, but Cook was less precise. Just my guess.