Additional sourcing, seems inconclusive:
https://appleinsider.com/articles/24/12/08/analysis-apple-vision-pro-sells-well-but-needs-more-content-faster

https://siliconangle.com/2025/01/01/apple-reportedly-ceases-vision-pro-production-amid-sluggish-sales/

@EvanDaniel
https://itdaily.com/news/business/apple-production-vision-pro/

If they sold 45k in Q4 2025 with new chips but the headsets stopped production in 2024 at around 500k supplied then

420k sales to end of 2024 plus 45k sales q4 2025 plus sales (10k?) in Q1, 2 and 3 of 2025 that would get to 495k sales.

So we should be getting close to them either running out of stock or having to order more parts.

Unfortunately I can't be sure they didn't get 600k of required parts supplied and then it would take a long time before we could be sure they sold less than 420k in 2024. Nor can I be sure we would hear about it if more parts were ordered.

Additionally if q4 2025 sales were 4500 per
https://mashable.com/article/vision-pro-cut
then this level of difference in reports suggests we really have no idea.

Resolve n/a and if we somehow get data later then re-resolve does seem to be becoming more sensible.

@AmmonLam @mods If we still don't know, maybe this should resolve n/a. If we somehow get data later, this could be reresolved accordingly.

I put some discussion at
https://manifold.markets/HenriThunberg/will-vision-pro-and-other-apple-hea-fee5899b9ba1

There was a 370k sales figure to q3 2024. This seems high to me but with extra sales as they expanded to other countries in that q3, I concede over 275k sales were likely. It also seems like they ordered parts for 500k or so and have not reordered parts believing they have more than lifetime sales before the next version if there is a next version.

They are still available so I think it is clear that sales are tailing off after they opened up sales to other countries in q3 2024. So the pattern if we assume that 370k sales figure is correct would be
2024 q1 100000
2024 q2 80000
2024 q3 190000
if they reached the 420k then 2024 q4 would be 50k and you could definitely avoid them running out of stock in 2025 with the sales tailing off to say 30k 20k 10k 5k in the 4 quarters.

Basically it is still not clear to me.

@creator how does this get resolved?

https://gizmodo.com/apple-vision-pro-u-s-sales-2000469302

Reportedly yet to reach 100000 sales.

Exactly 420420 or more than 420419? Just want to confirm.

How will you resolve this?