SpaceX is contracted to provide a lunar landing vehicle, planned to be a variant of Starship, for the Artemis program that will return humans to the moon.

Delivering such a vehicle to the moon will require multiple in-orbit propellant refillings in order to provide sufficient delta v.

Will all Starship-SuperHeavy launches intended to deliver propellant to a vehicle in orbit for this purpose have a successful landing of both the booster and ship?

A ground landing, landing on a barge, being caught by the launch tower, or anything else that brings a ship or booster intact to a resting position on something solid and not airborne counts as a successful landing. A soft "landing" in a body of water does not count. A catch by an aircraft does not count until the aircraft lands.

The vehicle must not explode for at least ten seconds after landing for it to count as having landed in one piece.

Only the result of actual launches count, failure prior to launch does not count. "Launch" means liftoff from the pad, however slight, under the thrust of rocket engines.

This market resolves when a Starship-like vehicle intended to depart Earth orbit and land humans on the moon (i.e. without departing Earth orbit for any other reason first) is refilled in orbit with sufficient propellant to do so, according to SpaceX and NASA. Subsequent success is irrelevant.

Only launches intended to refill that vehicle, during that stay in Earth orbit, count. Test missions involving in-orbit refilling do not count, even if the test involves going to the moon. If the same vehicle is used for tests and the final trip to the moon, the launches intended to refuel it during its final stay in Earth orbit (whether it went to the moon or back to Earth in between) before its trip to pick up humans are the ones that count.

The market remains open until that point or resolves NA if plans change sufficiently that in-orbit propellant refillings of a Starship-like vehicle are no longer the plan.