
Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?
9
190Ṁ1982030
70%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Success in this case means that NASA deems the test was a safe landing, and rules that it meets the requirements for the Artemis program.
For the purposes of this market the HLS test vehicle will count as HLS.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars?
95% chance
Which month will Starship HLS land on the Moon?
Will SpaceX put their HLS lander on the Moon by end of 2025?
1% chance
Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
66% chance
Will SpaceX's first Starship Cargo mission successfully land on the moon?
81% chance
When will SpaceX land on the moon?
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon?
60% chance
What year will SpaceX land on the moon?
When will an uncrewed Starship HLS land on the Moon?
2,028.71