Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?
Basic
9
Ṁ1982030
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Success in this case means that NASA deems the test was a safe landing, and rules that it meets the requirements for the Artemis program.
For the purposes of this market the HLS test vehicle will count as HLS.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
When will SpaceX land on the moon?
Will SpaceX's first Starship Cargo mission successfully land on the moon?
67% chance
Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M1 mission successfully land on the moon?
71% chance
Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
66% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2029?
56% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
47% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* before Dec 31st 2028?
35% chance
Will ESA's HERACLES mission successfully land on the moon?
57% chance
Will SpaceX's Artemis refuelling launches have a 100% landing success rate?
50% chance