Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
Standard
38
Ṁ34732030
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Question will resolve Yes if a landing occurs if a Starship rocket operated by SpaceX lands on Mars before January 1st 2030. Landing will count as a success if the rocket does not explode on impact, and the majority of the payload is in tact.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
55% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
65% chance
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?
56% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?
42% chance
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
49% chance
When will SpaceX successfully land Superheavy (Starship 1st stage) for the first time?
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2060?
61% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
23% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
38% chance