How much debt can Tumbles get into before Christmas?
How much debt can Tumbles get into before Christmas?
14
585Ṁ52kresolved Jan 18
Resolved
YESṀ300,000
Resolved
YESṀ500,000
Resolved
YESṀ450,000
Resolved
YESṀ400,000
Resolved
YESṀ350,000
You can see how much Tumbles currently owes here
Each option resolves YES if at any time the total amount Tumbles owes to other users totals at least that much mana. This includes fees and interest. This does not include the daily loans Manifold automatically gives out to every user.
Remaining options resolve NO at the market's scheduled close date.
Have spare mana? Loan it to me! I'll pay you a nice juicy fee as a thank you xoxo
Check out the Tumbles Financial Complex!
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| # | Name | Total profit |
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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