IE "make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover". It should be more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as it's pretty good. The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist.
Related questions
https://www.tiktok.com/@rizz.records.yt/video/7389286025635433758
AI "brain rot" videos seeing a lot of success on TikTok. This one has 1.3 million hearts and counting.
max joe justice trailer
https://www.reddit.com/r/aivideo/comments/1dxxi49/algenerated_movie_trailer_final_justice_the_first/ and we're only in 2024 Q2
this could easily do a die hard cheesy blow em up action film in 2028
I'm listening to this interview with Luma Chief Scientist Jiaming Song: https://a16z.com/podcast/beyond-language-inside-a-hundred-trillion-token-video-model/. He claims Luma will achieve real-time video generation in less than a year.
I made a market on it: https://manifold.markets/jim/will-luma-ai-release-realtime-video
seeing what sora/runway-gen-3 is producing, + latest lipsync ex https://humanaigc.github.io/emote-portrait-alive/ + elevenlabs voice + udio/suno audio
you could have a ML pipeline stitching it all together
short 4-8 second shots to look like StarTrek II : Wrath of Kahn,
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0084726/
I guess, is the question asking , can it do a 'big budget' movie of 2028, or 'big budget' of 2024,2010,1980s etc..
@DavidBolin I think there's a lot of use in defining fractional progress in ways other than "ease" or "amount of resources put in to get there." E.g., the notion that the last 0.1-5% is the hardest has been very useful to explain delays in other AI technologies like self-driving cars. There, % is something like fatalities or collisions per mile driven or another safety metric, which seems easier to define than film production but not by too much compared to other creative pursuits (e.g., revenue something would generate if released, quality rating from human evaluators, time or wages of human labor that it displaces).
Is it easier to make a movie than to take an order for a cheeseburger?
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/06/17/tech/mcdonalds-ai-drive-thru-program/index.html