
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
87
1káš21k2028
59%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
IE "Write a distopian sci-fi book about an AI going rouge". It should be more or less comparable to a professional human writen-novel, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as it's pretty good. The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist. Has to be be at least 50,000 words.
I will not trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
37% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
75% chance
In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
64% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
78% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
72% chance
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
19% chance
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
78% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
54% chance
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt?
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
34% chance