In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
19
1kṀ12762028
54%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
EG give it a good movie script, and it generates a movie more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as long as it's pretty good.
Script question:
/SamuelKnoche/in-early-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-2x8ud6ld4f
The intention of this question is to tease out what difficulties people expect for this question to resolve Yes:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000
People are also trading
Related questions
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
41% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
40% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
78% chance
At the beginning of 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
4% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
74% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
34% chance
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
25% chance
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
18% chance
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
78% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
77% chance