
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
31
Ṁ1kṀ2.8k2028
62%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
EG give it a good movie script, and it generates a movie more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as long as it's pretty good.
Script question:
/SamuelKnoche/in-early-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-2x8ud6ld4f
The intention of this question is to tease out what difficulties people expect for this question to resolve Yes:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
From a prompt, no. From a script with minimal post-editing, indeed at this rate.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZoXZUvIPKf4
@Chumchulum there can’t be minimal post-editing for this market, which I think will be a substantial bottleneck
People are also trading
Related questions
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
48% chance
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
75% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
47% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
66% chance
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
23% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
66% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
42% chance
In early 2029, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
70% chance
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
15% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
90% chance
