@Kormann Maybe, maybe not. Not sure if you watched the original Corridor Digital video, but they had to do A LOT of manual work to make it even visually coherent, forget about all of the writing and acting. And that was for a cool-for-the-novelty-but-not-actually-very-good couple of minutes about two dudes play rock paper scissors.

@jonsimon *playing

@ChanaMessinger Could we get an update on this?

@StrayClimb this isn't a significant threat.

@L interesting, are you a no on this market?

@StrayClimb Hmm, I'll think about whether I disagree with 70% enough to trade, I probably don't. But I don't think legal restrictions could prevent this from occurring. It's much too easy to build with 2027's ai algorithms and compute substrates.

@L I'm really confused by your bets here; haven't you been confidently betting in other markets that AGI will likely come by 2028?

@IsaacKing yeah? why would that be confusing?

@IsaacKing like are you just confused why I don't bet every capabilities market up? or did I bet in a way that seems actively in conflict

@IsaacKing like, I think there will be tons of legal restrictions on ai. but I don't think any of them will stop ai from being able to do anything a human can.

@L Ah, so you think we'll reach AGI very soon but it will be prevented from making movies? Interesting.

@IsaacKing he didn't say either of those things?

@EmrikGarden it's meant to get at the thing where GPT3 sometimes loses track of who the characters in the stories are

@Lauro no input doesn't mean you can't have models prompting models

@Lauro I think that resolves to yes if you're not doing more decision making it selecting in the intermediate steps and no otherwise

@L err, sorry. it seems harder than whole cell simulation to me.