By 2029, will an AI be able to generate a full high quality Video Game to a prompt?
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2029
31%
chance

A single AI system must be able to use an arbitrary prompt to generate video games from any genre that exists today in 2023. The generated games should be comparable in quality to games created by 'AA' mid market studios in (or before) the year 2023.

Some examples:

"make me a multiplayer arena shooter in set in zero g"

"make me a fantasy rpg with branching choices using a combat system inspired by D&D"

"make me a voxel based open world exploration game based around crafting"

"make me a mindbending puzzle game that uses perspective and time as central mechanics"

The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist.

EDIT #1: I will not bet on this market.

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Video game development requires technical expertise and creativity. While AI can help, human designers, developers, and artists are still necessary for crafting unique and captivating gaming experiences.

There exist some games already made by AI, but the public did not seem to like. To say "full high quality" there should be more aspects to be considered beyond the 'it's posible' or 'it exist'. The storytelling and creativity it's a human trait that will be difficult to be replicated by a machine.

References:

https://kotaku.com/steam-pc-ai-generated-art-midjourney-youtube-valve-1849531585

https://infocusfilmschool.com/will-ai-replace-screenwriters/

@ClaudiaContreras By 2029, AI will likely be capable of generating full, high-quality video games. The rapid advancements in AI technology, particularly in machine learning and generative AI, are reshaping creative industries, including gaming. AI's current involvement in gaming, from enhancing player experiences to creating complex environments, is a precursor to its potential future capabilities. A report from Allied Market Research predicts the AI in Video Games Market will reach $11.4 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 26.8% from 2023, indicating a significant investment and confidence in AI's evolving role in game development [2]. Additionally, AI's application in generating image assets and inspiring creative thinking, as reported by Salesforce, suggests its growing influence in areas traditionally dominated by human creativity [3]. Therefore, considering these developments, it's plausible that by 2029, AI will not only assist but potentially lead in creating engaging and high-quality video games.