Background
Although tornadoes are observed all over the world, the United States experience tornado activities more frequently than any other places on Earth. The NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) Storm Prediction Center tracks the activities of tornadoes in the continental US and issues preliminary reports for tornado activities, alongside severe wind and hail events each month.
Although a typical tornado season in the United States peaks between March and June, tornado outbreaks have been documented in every month of the year.
As such, this market aims to capture the number of tornadoes in the United States during the month of January in 2024, and asks how many tornadoes will there be in the continental US during the period of time, according to NOAA Storm Prediction Center. The question has been adapted from the Kalshi market that asks the same thing and resolves similarly.
Options of higher counts might be added as tornado counts increase.
Resolution Criteria
An option resolves YES when the preliminary number of tornadoes as recorded in the preliminary report from NOAA Storm Prediction Center reaches said range, at or before the end of January 2024.
I will not bet on this market, but I will put Ṁ150 in as subsidy. @SirCryptomind has also generously provided another Ṁ150 as additional subsidy, totalling Ṁ300 in subsidy.
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ510 | |
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| 3 | Ṁ11 | |
| 4 | Ṁ8 | |
| 5 | Ṁ5 |
Jet Stream set it back but its build up looks more intense because of such.
Looks like today instead of yesterday will get the extreme weather in the south.
Current Radar. and continues to build up through the day into evening.
Still at 43. But I could see 50 from this from small tornados. It has been super humid the past 48 hours, so something is brewing.
Wed Night-Fri Night
Rainfall totals in excess of 10in
Severe Weather Pattern Shaping Up For Saturday Could Bring Severe Weather & Add To The Rain Totals(Flooding) From The Wed Night-Fri Night Totals.
I Sold My No On 50, And Bought A Bit Of Yes Just In Case.
Still At 43 For The Month
@SarkanyVar Man I forgot about this because I was in the core of Virginia and dealing with flash flooding and Tornado warnings. Lost 76 Mana 😭
Decent threat today in the south of the US around Alabama & Mississippi with chances in Louisiana and Florida.