Mini
22
6.2k
2025
5%
0-6
28%
7-10
32%
11-13
13%
14-15
7%
16-17
7%
18-20
5%
21-24
3%
25 or more

The number of hurricanes in the Atlantic in 2024 as determined by NOAA.

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bought Ṁ50 11-13 YES

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season

Above normal = 8-13 hurricanes. This market seems miscalibrated.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Also, the highest count ever was 15 hurricanes in 2005. Most years are in single digits.

bought Ṁ20 11-13 YES

@ScottSupak Please don't tell me you're forecasting using hour 384 of the GFS...

@SaviorofPlant Forecasting? Well, no... but this is the first thing to pop up that's got a chance, so, it's worth noting.