Will an F5+ Tornado strike the United States by the end of 2025?
11
220Ṁ1282026
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
EF5 and any higher categories also count. The tornado in question must be officially rated according to the first chart in this Wikipedia article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_F5_and_EF5_tornadoes
See this 2024 market for comparison:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a Tornado reported anywhere in the world on March 14, 2025?
58% chance
Will there be a Tornado reported anywhere in the world on April 14, 2025?
48% chance
Will there be 5 or more confirmed violent tornadoes (EF4 or EF5) occur in the USA during 2025?
39% chance
Will Oklahoma city experience a major tornado by 2025?
34% chance
Will a category 5 hurricane hit the USA before 2026?
40% chance
Will there be a Tornado reported anywhere in the world on February 14, 2025?
59% chance
Will there be a Tornado reported anywhere in the world on January 14, 2025?
20% chance
Will an above average number of tornadoes occur in the US in 2024?
94% chance
Will a category 5 hurricane form during the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season?
72% chance
Will there be more than 1,269 tornados in the USA in 2024?
97% chance