🏅 Top traders

@mukimameaddict

@RobinFoster aw - I love how these images turned out (especially the first two)! :) Also, thanks for the comment bounty!

@MartinRandall And here's what Manifold's new dream feature came up with. It's certainly dreamier but imo doesn't quite hit the mark. Perhaps I should make a derivative market "Will I prefer Manifold Dream or DALL-E?"

@MartinRandall Haha, this one's quite good. Couldn't choose which was best from the set, so have all 4:

@RobinFoster I like all these! I'd pick the second one myself.

@RobinFoster I also like these! I don't know your preferences in profile pics, but I wish there was an option for "Robin winning money on prediction market, digital art" - I would also like to see some options with happy birds in them (rather than these sad ones)

@mukimameaddict you can buy these options!

@mukimameaddict I think Robin should have a sad bird so that other traders think he's the mark and give him their mana. 😁

@MartinRandall haha fair enough!

@RobinFoster I almost did, but the market is closing so soon, and I think it's pretty unlikely that a new option is going to win at this point :S (plus I like Martin's reasoning above)...but now that I think about it again, I may as well add it anyway (I'd like to see the examples that get generated!)

I actually quite like this one! Some variations:

Disturbing demon with huge number of tiny teeth, Francisco Goya

Disturbing demon with huge number of tiny teeth, John Tenniel

Disturbing demon with huge number of tiny teeth, Maurice Sendak

@stone

@stone

Bad sad fat cat that said "mad bet"

sad fat red cat that said: bad bet, get mad.

I think the huge corpus of wildlife photographs sets a strong prior on naturalistic looking Robins. Here are some alternative styles:

Electric sparkling Robin, chiaroscuro

Electric sparkling Robin, hologram

Electric sparkling Robin, pokemon yellow

Electric sparkling Robin, Experiment, Joseph Wright of Derby

@Jjmmm

@RobinFoster I tried a couple of tweaks to push it towards what googling shows me is his style. Nothing very successful however.

@Jjmmm Seems like the model doesn't really know his style

@Jjmmm curious :)

@stone actually:

sad fat red cat that said: bad bet, get mad.

Huh, looks like I didn't specify how the market itself would resolve. @FutureOwl @ian @stone Would you guys prefer winner takes all? Mutliple resolution in proportion to close prices? I pick whichever my heart tells me feels right?

@RobinFoster I figured it was winner take all, seems appropriate

@RobinFoster as long as you really use the winning picture, I don't care where the money goes. If you don't end up using it, then N/A would be the honestest.

some alternative styles:

Friendly jester close up crawling ants cheerful optimistic realistic digital art

Angry jester close up crawling ants scary depressing realistic, camera lucida, scientific illustration, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. (1868)

Angry jester close up crawling ants scary depressing realistic, ink on paper (1908)

Angry jester close up crawling ants scary depressing realistic professional headshot, Canon 85mm f2.4

@RobinFoster I wonder which variant you're gonna pick! I like the professional headshot, for one.

not very friendly looking but actually not too bad