Will we get a cure for cancer before 2025?
19
167
390
2025
1.9%
chance

Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.

In order for this question to resolve as YES, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached. This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to January 1st 2025.

Questions with the same criteria:

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224 (this question)

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-e2cd2abbbed6

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-92c17acb77f1

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7e534a91d188

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7ddfe58feb89

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor

/RemNi/will-we-have-a-cure-for-cancer-befo

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ffd180fe8e3d

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7973daa750f9

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-06bd353512dc

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-8ae988ef1cac

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-d3d4a061f891

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-5d430e6e7829

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-99db0a1a6f37

Numeric market:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc

Other questions for 2025:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2025

/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be

/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-97ccfb75fd6d

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-031ec0858fcc

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1

/RemNi/will-a-significant-ai-generated-mem-5f798d3b2ace

Other reference points for cure for cancer:

/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-we

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-939ead04dfb1

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c

The cohorts considered in these studies must be statistically representative of that country's population.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ750 NO at 3% order

I don't get it - why is anybody betting YES? The question is basically "a magical cure for cancer already exists and is being currently tested in a very large number of trials across the world"... Don't you think this would be a development we would notice?

@MartinModrak maybe you've been living under a rock