How many Manifolders will "double it and pass it on"? (Ep. 2.1)
21
325αΉ€15k
resolved Oct 20
Resolved
12
100%99.0%
12
0.3%
13
0.1%
14
0.1%
15
0.1%
16
0.1%
17
0.1%
18
0.0%
19
0.0%
20
0.0%
21
0.0%
22
0.0%
β‰₯23

The dust settles. Mana was exchanged. Closed-door conversations fall silent.

The VILLAIN is defeated. A new market dawns.

This market is a continuation of "Double It" Ep 2.0.


@bens is the 0th Manifolder in the chain. @121 is the 12th. The same Manifolder cannot be in the chain more than once.

A new Manifolder is added to the chain when the last Manifolder in the chain managrams another user with a memo that contains and starts with the phrase "double it and pass it on" (non-case sensitive). I may make good-faith exceptions to this memo rule at my discretion.

The managram needs at least double the mana they had received. Managrams made with what staff deems to be counterfeit mana or during a period the site rolls back through do not count.

Additionally, their managram needs to be made within 48 hours, down to the second, of them receiving their initiating managram to count. 48:00:00 after counts. 48:00:01 does not.

Only the 1st valid managram sent by a user counts. Sending multiple to the same or different users will not count the 2nd attempt and beyond.

Market resolves to how many Manifolders successfully "doubled it and passed it on" with valid managrams. (This is not how many Manifolders are in the chain -- the starting seed doesn't count.) Only one market answer will resolve YES. The rest, NO.

Shame upon the Manifolder who breaks the chain. That, or shame may be brought upon the Manifolder who sends their managram payload to an inactive or distrustful user.

I cannot trade on this market.


Companion market:

/Quroe/who-will-be-in-the-double-it-chain-tdZdC5n2RO

Chain (the count is 12 as shown, not 14):

@bens 🌱 @Quroe πŸ”— @strutheo πŸ”— @SimonWestlake πŸ”— @MylieSiegel πŸ”— @MaxE πŸ”— @Jasonb πŸ”— @Nat πŸ”— @Robincvgr πŸ”— @calour πŸ”— @Conflux πŸ”— @snazzlePop πŸ”— @121 πŸ”— @Bayesian

Roles (click roles for prop bet markets):

Dashboards:


Get
αΉ€1,000
to start trading!

πŸ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1αΉ€5,893
2αΉ€523
3αΉ€235
4αΉ€55
5αΉ€50
Sort by:

Shame on you, @Bayesian. You have broken the chain.

@121 This valid managram was sent at Oct 17, 2025, 10:30:27 PM EST.

@Bayesian is next in the chain. The count is now 12. If the chain shamefully breaks here, "12" resolves YES. The rest, NO. The minimum for the next managram is 131,072 mana.

If anybody knows any great artists that are Manifolders, I'm curious how we can get an art piece together for how the boss fight went down. That's a cultural moment I want captured. Hit me up if you can help us make this a reality (without AI).

😒

Shame on you, @Bayesian. You have broken the chain.

@Quroe aint no shame on bayesian

@121 Prove it in the polls.

30 minutes remain on "12".

10 minutes remain.

5 minutes.

2 minutes. Showdown.
There will be no further time warnings.

If no valid managram is sent, the markets will be manually closed.

Manifold:

TV gif. Lena Headey as Cersei Lannister on Game of Thrones walks through a crowd of people. She walks with stern expression on her face and she waves a bell. Text, β€œShame. Shame. Shame.”

Bayesian and 121:

bought αΉ€2 NO

@TheAllMemeingEye

worthwhile investment? πŸ€”

only 2 mana?

@Wott nuh-uh

bought αΉ€100 NO

@TheAllMemeingEye this inspired me so much I threw in another M100

filled aαΉ€2,000 NO at 67% order

Wanna bet more? I can do large volume

@Bayesian this is about as fair as going second in rock-paper-scissors.

opened a αΉ€25,000 YES at 99.0% order

i've lowered the price and increased liquidity way up

@Bayesian Should I be saying, "Shame!" here?

@Quroe What's this "Shame!" you speak of? I'm not familiar

@Quroe bayesian has no shame. I have him covered

@121 Be prepared to convince the community of that!

did not mean to repost lol

@Robincvgr I mean, I'll take the free publicity. πŸ˜„

Β© Manifold Markets, Inc.β€’Termsβ€’Privacy