Which manifolders will still be active in 2028? (add answers!)

1.4kṀ2555

2029

90%

@Fion

85%

73%

65%

65%

59%

59%

54%

53%

50%

50%

49%

47%

16%

They must make at least one trade every year including 2028 to qualify.

So, if an entire calendar year goes by and the account has not made a trade, that answer will resolve NO!

Otherwise, the answer will resolve YES when the account makes a trade in 2028!

API/bot trades don't count.

Manifold

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Which of the following users will stay active on manifold until EOY 2025?

Will I (@Robincvgr) still be active on Manifold at the end of 2025?

89% chance

Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?

52% chance

What will Manifolders mostly use LLMs for, by EOY 2025?

Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)

43% chance

Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?

78% chance

Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)

63% chance

Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?

50% chance

Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?

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Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?

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bought Ṁ100 NO

@jim would @firstuserhere and @sircryptomind be resolved as NO since their accounts are unable to be found?

@musuko384 SirCryptomind is @Lunar now; FUH is banned and long gone. But I guess he could be unbanned in 2025 and still resolve YES in 2028?

sold Ṁ100 NO

@evan Banned users can still bet on markets, and such. They just cannot create questions or reply on bets.

bought Ṁ50 YES

Very low threshold for activity

What about keeping your streak alive. That'd be serious

@Ernie wow that would be a lot of fun. Sorry, I am not an expert at making fun markets 😆 . I will make that version when I have mana again 🥼 or you can if you can feel like it.

I like this one, but a streak one sounds much more exciting!

People are also trading

Which of the following users will stay active on manifold until EOY 2025?

Will I (@Robincvgr) still be active on Manifold at the end of 2025?

89% chance

Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?

52% chance

What will Manifolders mostly use LLMs for, by EOY 2025?

Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)

43% chance

Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?

78% chance

Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)

63% chance

Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?

50% chance

Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?

85% chance

Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?

89% chance

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