Who will be the 4 highest profit traders in serious markets in Aug?
Standard
43
แน€13k
resolved Sep 2
50%46%
15%13%
5%0.8%
vlovic
0.9%
3%Other

IMPORTANT: only resolved markets count

This is a follow-on market after this market.

Scoring:

  1. 1st place = 50%

  2. 2nd place = 30%

  3. 3rd place = 15%

  4. 4th place = 5%

It is a contest to see which top trader will have the highest profit in a single market in Aug. I will resolve this market to the eligible candidate with the highest eligible profit.

Full rules below:

  • You can submit yourself or other users as an answer.

  • Candidates should be submitted as "@[Manifold Username]".

  • Any subsequent duplicate entries will not be selected as the winner.

  • Before this market closes, there must be a comment posted here with a link to an eligible market, as defined below, showing the candidate as the top trader.

Traders in the same market can qualify.

Market/Payout Eligibility Rules:

  • The market is publicly listed.

  • The market is created after July 1st (with an emphasis on Aug - i.e. should be open in Aug longer than in Jul)

  • The market resolves before or at the same time as this market closes (09/01, 11:59:00 PM EST)

  • The market has a top trader that has been submitted as an answer here.

  • The market is "serious" in my judgment. It is a predictive market about newsworthy real world events, not itself / other markets / streamers / manifold user's personal lives (i.e. not a non-predictive market or personal market).


I reserve the right to disqualify a market if it seems like someone has conspired with the top trader to give them the profit deliberately.

Get
แน€1,000
and
S1.00
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Created one for any resolved market in Sep

Same question for next month:

@joshua - I have
1. @PC - 28.5k
2. @chrisjbillington - 16.7k
3. @jack - 10.5k
4. @vlovic - 9.0k

agreed?

Seems so!

We need markets in the comments. Here is mine: https://manifold.markets/PC/will-manifold-have-a-day-over-1350

@JosephMartinjr3rdcoyote Come on guys, Max payout is 50%. Can managram you as well if you would like

Patrick Not the starfishboughtแน€256@PC YES

@PatrickNotthestarfish Can managram you. Max payout is 50%

Oops typo @firstusername is mean to be firstuserhere

"will Manifold have x engaged users" etc. do not count for this, correct?

@nickten lol why would it would not count?

@PC so the "serious" is meant to be similar to "non-predictive". Willing to hear arguments for why this isn't a serious market

@ShadowyZephyr Yikes - close dates can move though

@PC if it resolves before close then I assume it counts, but otherwise it doesn't?

@ShadowyZephyr The intention was to include all Aug markets. Technically, it needs to close before this market, and it needs to be in the comments.

@PC If it resolves immediately (before close date) does it count though

@ShadowyZephyr I just need to see it in the comments and I look to resolve this market

@PC I don't understand. If a market resolves BEFORE the end of august, though the original close date was afte,r does that market count or not.

@ShadowyZephyr Oh yes, it not about the original close date at all

@PC but for the 1500 one if it doesn't resolve YES by august 31 it doesn't count, correct?

@PC No, Sep 1: The market resolves before or at the same time as this market closes (09/01, 11:59:00 PM EST)

@PC ah k

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