IMPORTANT: only resolved markets count
This is a follow-on market after this market.
Scoring:
1st place = 50%
2nd place = 30%
3rd place = 15%
4th place = 5%
It is a contest to see which top trader will have the highest profit in a single market in Aug. I will resolve this market to the eligible candidate with the highest eligible profit.
Full rules below:
You can submit yourself or other users as an answer.
Candidates should be submitted as "@[Manifold Username]".
Any subsequent duplicate entries will not be selected as the winner.
Before this market closes, there must be a comment posted here with a link to an eligible market, as defined below, showing the candidate as the top trader.
Traders in the same market can qualify.
Market/Payout Eligibility Rules:
The market is publicly listed.
The market is created after July 1st (with an emphasis on Aug - i.e. should be open in Aug longer than in Jul)
The market resolves before or at the same time as this market closes (09/01, 11:59:00 PM EST)
The market has a top trader that has been submitted as an answer here.
The market is "serious" in my judgment. It is a predictive market about newsworthy real world events, not itself / other markets / streamers / manifold user's personal lives (i.e. not a non-predictive market or personal market).
I reserve the right to disqualify a market if it seems like someone has conspired with the top trader to give them the profit deliberately.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ768 | |
2 | Ṁ231 | |
3 | Ṁ191 | |
4 | Ṁ129 | |
5 | Ṁ39 |
People are also trading
We need markets in the comments. Here is mine: https://manifold.markets/PC/will-manifold-have-a-day-over-1350

@JosephMartinjr3rdcoyote Come on guys, Max payout is 50%. Can managram you as well if you would like
Oops typo @firstusername is mean to be firstuserhere
@PC so the "serious" is meant to be similar to "non-predictive". Willing to hear arguments for why this isn't a serious market
@ShadowyZephyr The intention was to include all Aug markets. Technically, it needs to close before this market, and it needs to be in the comments.
@PC I don't understand. If a market resolves BEFORE the end of august, though the original close date was afte,r does that market count or not.
@PC No, Sep 1: The market resolves before or at the same time as this market closes (09/01, 11:59:00 PM EST)