https://manifold.markets/stats
An engaged user is a user who has traded in, commented on, or created a question on at least 2 out of 7 days in each of the past 3 weeks.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ28,521 | |
| 2 | Ṁ10,038 | |
| 3 | Ṁ5,705 | |
| 4 | Ṁ2,227 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1,792 |
So, I believe that there was a certain type of manipulation that was going on in this market. I'm very curious and would love to update my models of how these things. So, I am offering $1k bounty to anyone who messages me on Discord and shares the details of what they did, esp if it matches some of what I was seeing.
Wild market. Thanks everyone for participating. Looking back I was probably overconfident and lucky. I definitely did expect potential rigging.
Thanks to @nickten for suggesting this market. I didn't expect it to get this big.
Just FYI - at the beginning, I thought this was going to YES and Chris bought my 50% YES limit order. Then we both flipped that same day and he bought my 60% NO order.
I feel bad for those who might have lost more than they liked on this market. If you feel like your Manifold experience would be improved with more mana, leave me a comment and I can send you a managram for a reasonable requested amount.
@PC The stats are out, resolves NO (as do all the other engaged users August markets):
@firstuserhere clearly, because I know you know I know you know I don't know what is going to happen
@firstuserhere 15,595% return gotta have faith!
(Edit: ok more like 8,400% I didn't see their other buys at first)
@firstuserhere Meta gaming. If the platform doesn’t rocket, I’ll probably lose interest anyway and stop using it.
Low risk, high reward
