This is a follow-on market after this market, but for a longer time period of a month.
It is a contest to see which top trader will have the highest profit in a single market in July. I will resolve this market to the eligible candidate with the highest eligible profit.
Full rules below:
You can submit yourself or other users as an answer.
Candidates should be submitted as "@[Manifold Username]".
Any subsequent duplicate entries will not be selected as the winner.
Before this market closes, there must be a comment posted here with a link to an eligible market, as defined below, showing the candidate as the top trader.
Market/Payout Eligibility Rules:
The market is publicly listed.
The market is created after June 1st (with an emphasis on most of the trading being in July)
The market resolves before or at the same time as this market closes (08/01, 11:59:00 PM EST)
The market has a top trader that has been submitted as an answer here.
The market is "serious" in my judgment. It is a predictive market about newsworthy real world events, not itself / other markets / streamers / manifold user's personal lives.
I reserve the right to disqualify a market if it seems like someone has conspired with the top trader to give them the profit deliberately.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ685 | |
2 | Ṁ228 | |
3 | Ṁ197 | |
4 | Ṁ178 | |
5 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
This should be 33,283 mana profit right?

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@Joshua i have no issue with that, but i also don't mind not counting it
The market is "serious" in my judgment. It is a predictive market about newsworthy real world events, not itself / other markets / streamers / manifold user's personal lives.


@Joshua honestly, if it was my market I would've resolved N/A. But I trust BTE resolving YES at his judgement.
I'd have the same profit as Mira had it resolved NO.
And honestly been trying to find a reason to stay of Manifold. It is very addictive, and since there is no monetary payout option, seemed like this was a good time to "Go all in".
@SirCryptomind I'm inclined to call this market serious because it is about a real-world event. I do see there is controversy though. Rough loss @SirCryptomind, seems like you made a conscious decision and are taking it well though.
Also, if i do come back. It will most likely be market creation and not betting on my own markets.
I like doing markets, I find the predicting part too addictive and time consuming.
@SirCryptomind Mm I would be curious what part of Manifold you would value abnd enjoy and would consider continuing. Definitely a question that I am thinking about