When will SpaceX first reuse Superheavy (Starship 1st stage)?
44
1.4kṀ20kresolved May 27
Resolved
NOBefore 2024-10-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-01-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-04-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-05-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2025-06-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2025-07-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2025-10-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2026-01-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2026-04-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2026-07-01
The market will resolve as soon as SpaceX manages to launch a Starship rocket, successfully land its first stage, aka Superheavy, and launch it for the second time. The second launch doesn't have to be fully successful, the market will resolve positively as long as the rocket leaves the pad.
I do not bet on my own questions.
Related questions:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-successfully-land
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-successfully-land-o1e8o780ic
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Sorry for the duplicate but thought people might like different milestones in one place for comparison.
https://manifold.markets/ChristopherRandles/starship-milestone-dates-megamarket
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