When will SpaceX first reuse Superheavy (Starship 1st stage)?
Basic
23
Ṁ4.0k2026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
5%
Before 2024-10-01
20%
Before 2025-01-01
54%
Before 2025-04-01
59%
Before 2025-07-01
69%
Before 2025-10-01
85%
Before 2026-01-01
The market will resolve as soon as SpaceX manages to launch a Starship rocket, successfully lands its first stage, aka Superheavy, and launches it for the second time. The second launch doesn't have to be fully successful, the market will resolve positively as long as the rocket leaves the pad.
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