By when will first Starship be reused?
48
แน1.8kแน14k2031
78%
December 2027 or earlier
49%
June 2027 or earlier
33%
March 2027 or earlier
10%
December 2026 or Earlier
1.3%
Never
1.1%
November 2026
Resolves to Never if No Starship is Reused by 2030, unless there are concrete plans indicating plans to do so in very near future(~2 years), in which case the market could be extended with additional options.
Starship Reusability means both ship and booster have to be successfully flown once before.
Does not count if only one of them is reused.
Update 2026-03-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Answers without "or earlier" include that month (i.e., the named month is included in the resolution criteria).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Which Starship will be the first to be caught?
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