By when will first Starship be reused?
46
แน1.8kแน13k2031
63%
December 2027
55%
June 2027
46%
March 2027
28%
December 2026 or Earlier
18%
November 2026
5%
Never
1%
June 2026 or Earlier
Resolves to Never if No Starship is Reused by 2030, unless there are concrete plans indicating plans to do so in very near future(~2 years), in which case the market could be extended with additional options.
Starship Reusability means both ship and booster have to be successfully flown once before.
Does not count if only one of them is reused.
Update 2026-03-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Answers without "or earlier" include that month (i.e., the named month is included in the resolution criteria).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Related questions
When will Starship complete an orbit?
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By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
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6/9/27