Starship milestone dates megamarket
47
3kṀ38k
2026
13%
Catch booster on different tower by end of 2025/12 Dec 2025
49%
Catch booster on different tower by end of 2026/03 March 2026
4%
Catch Starship on 2 different towers by end of 2025/12 Dec 2025
10%
Catch Starship on 2 different towers by end of 2026/03 March 2026
1%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/06 June 2025
1%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/07 July 2025
7%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/08 August 2025
16%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/09 September 2025
25%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/10 Oct 2025
41%
Launch from a different tower by end of 2025/12 Dec 2025
89%
Launch from a different tower by end of 2026/03 March 2026
0.8%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/06 June 2025
1%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/07 July 2025
5%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/08 August 2025
20%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/09 September 2025
27%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/10 Oct 2025
1%
Recover starship by end of 2025/06 June 2025
1%
Recover starship by end of 2025/07 July 2025
3%
Recover starship by end of 2025/08 August 2025
18%
Recover starship by end of 2025/09 September 2025

Reach orbit means full circumnavigation around Earth.

Recover starship means mainly intact and no large deformation. Things that might possibly be repairable like missing tiles and/or hole in flap and/or flap torn off is acceptable.

Refuel a booster must be at least 50% of amount of propellants intended to be transferred. Also must be more than 1000 Kg of mass in case they do a very small scale test.

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator

    • Mass simulators to suborbital do not count as satellites.

    • Satellites must be deployed to orbit and be functional test items.

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