
Starship milestone dates megamarket
47
3kṀ38k2026
13%
Catch booster on different tower by end of 2025/12 Dec 2025
49%
Catch booster on different tower by end of 2026/03 March 2026
4%
Catch Starship on 2 different towers by end of 2025/12 Dec 2025
10%
Catch Starship on 2 different towers by end of 2026/03 March 2026
1%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/06 June 2025
1%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/07 July 2025
7%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/08 August 2025
16%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/09 September 2025
25%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/10 Oct 2025
41%
Launch from a different tower by end of 2025/12 Dec 2025
89%
Launch from a different tower by end of 2026/03 March 2026
0.8%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/06 June 2025
1%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/07 July 2025
5%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/08 August 2025
20%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/09 September 2025
27%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/10 Oct 2025
1%
Recover starship by end of 2025/06 June 2025
1%
Recover starship by end of 2025/07 July 2025
3%
Recover starship by end of 2025/08 August 2025
18%
Recover starship by end of 2025/09 September 2025
Reach orbit means full circumnavigation around Earth.
Recover starship means mainly intact and no large deformation. Things that might possibly be repairable like missing tiles and/or hole in flap and/or flap torn off is acceptable.
Refuel a booster must be at least 50% of amount of propellants intended to be transferred. Also must be more than 1000 Kg of mass in case they do a very small scale test.
Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator
Mass simulators to suborbital do not count as satellites.
Satellites must be deployed to orbit and be functional test items.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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