Starship milestone dates megamarket
47
3.2kṀ39k
2026
22%
Catch booster on different tower by end of 2025/12 i.e. Dec 2025
47%
Catch booster on different tower by end of 2026/03 i.e. March 2026
49%
Catch booster on different tower by end of 2026/06 i.e. June 2026
4%
Catch Starship on 2 different towers by end of 2025/12 i.e. Dec 2025
10%
Catch Starship on 2 different towers by end of 2026/03 i.e. March 2026
25%
Catch Starship on 2 different towers by end of 2026/12 i.e. Dec 2026
1%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/06 i.e. June 2025
1%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/07 i.e. July 2025
5%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/08 i.e. Aug 2025
12%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/09 i.e. Sep 2025
18%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/10 i.e. Oct 2025
29%
Deploy satellites by end of 2025/12 i,e, Dec 2025
50%
Launch from a different tower by end of 2025/12 i.e. Dec 2025
72%
Launch from a different tower by end of 2026/03 i.e. March 2026
0.8%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/06 i.e. June 2025
1%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/07 i.e. July 2025
5%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/08 i.e. Aug 2025
6%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/09 i.e. Sep 2025
15%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/10 i,e, Oct 2025
38%
Reach orbit by end of 2025/11 i.e. Nov 2025

Reach orbit means full circumnavigation around Earth.

Recover starship means mainly intact and no large deformation. Things that might possibly be repairable like missing tiles and/or hole in flap and/or flap torn off is acceptable.

Refuel a booster must be at least 50% of amount of propellants intended to be transferred. Also must be more than 1000 Kg of mass in case they do a very small scale test.

Catch booster on different tower means different from Pad A at Boca Chica used for the first catch. Pad B at Boca Chica is perhaps most advanced and most likely but it could be a different location. Note it does not have to be a different tower from which it launched.

Mass simulators to suborbital do not count as satellites.

Satellites must be deployed to orbit and be functional items but functional as a test item is OK.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy