When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time?
12
700Ṁ30632030
June 11, 2026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1%
2025 May-Aug
32%
2025 Sep-Dec
31%
2026 Jan-Jun
19%
2026 Jul-Dec
14%
2027
1.2%
2028
1.2%
2029
At time of writing (2025 March), Starship is still a prototype rocket & has not deployed anything to orbit yet.
This question will resolve when Starship successfully deploys 1+ satellites (eg, Starlink) to orbit AND this has already happened once before.
Motive: This launch should correlate with the end of Starship testing & the start of a useful decrease in price to LEO.
Clarifications:
Starship doing orbital fuel transfer would not count
The satellites must stay on their intended trajectories for at least 24 hours after deployment
As with all my questions, i might bet on this.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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3% chance