When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time?
9
700Ṁ1918
2030
March 15, 2026
20%
2025 May-Aug
38%
2025 Sep-Dec
14%
2026 Jan-Jun
15%
2026 Jul-Dec
11%
2027
1.1%
2028
1.1%
2029

At time of writing (2025 March), Starship is still a prototype rocket & has not deployed anything to orbit yet.

This question will resolve when Starship successfully deploys 1+ satellites (eg, Starlink) to orbit AND this has already happened once before.

Motive: This launch should correlate with the end of Starship testing & the start of a useful decrease in price to LEO.

Clarifications:

  • Starship doing orbital fuel transfer would not count

  • The satellites must stay on their intended trajectories for at least 24 hours after deployment

  • As with all my questions, i might bet on this.

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