This is part of a series of markets. The derivative market of this will resolve to the weighted average of how this panel of markets resolve. Each of us are allowed to resolve to a percentage, if deemed appropriate. Each of us are allowed to set our own standards for how these should resolve

Please duplicate this market, and if I vaguely trust you, I will add you to the list for the derivative

This market resolves YES if anything at the scale or greater of Jan 6 happens.

This market resolves YES if state legislators override the popular vote to elect a president of a different party, regardless of whether it affects the election

This market resolves YES if any states are struck from the electoral college vote

This market resolves otherwise to my confidence that something like a coup occurred. If I am 20% sure there was a coup, I will resolve to 20%. If I think this is less than 5% odds, I will resolve to NO.

If a Republican is elected without triggering any of the above clauses or my discretion, this resolves N/A.

I will not trade in this market. If I do so accidentally, all profits shall be donated in the charity section