Will Trump be assassinated during his second term?
43
1kṀ47012029
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Donald Trump dies by homicide while being president (during the term beginning 1/20/2025.)
Resolves NO if Donald Trump finishes his time in office alive OR dies of any cause while president excluding homicide.
Clarifications:
If Donald Trump is replaced as president by an acting President due to incapacitation caused by an assassination attempt (25th constitutional amendment) AND later dies from injuries/complications before 1/20/2029, the market resolves YES.
Trump’s term is considered over when his 4 year term expires, or earlier if he resigns or is removed from office.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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