This is a market for drawing attention to large limit orders on other markets, challenging other users to fill them. Larger limit orders get advertised at the top of the market!
Submit answers in this format:
@[Username] bets X mana at Y% that Z will happen: [Market Link]
Please post a screenshot of the orderbook showing the limit order in a comment replying to the submission, so that users can see the other limit orders around it.
By default, the challenge is to have the limit order stay up until the next-next Saturday from when you added it to the market. If you want to have your limit order expire sooner than that, you can also specify that in the answer text.
Honor Code
I ask that you only participate in this market according to the following Honor Code:
It is Honorable to bet NO on options about your own limit orders as a challenge to counterparties. You are declaring to the world: "None of you are bold enough to take this bet against me." You are encouraged to do this.
It is Dishonorable to bet YES on options about your own limit orders, as it it gives you an incentive to cancel the limit order and profit on a YES resolution. Do not do this.
It is neither Honorable nor Dishonorable to cancel a limit order because you have honestly changed your mind and no longer wish to make the bet. No one should be mad at you if you do this, and in fact I encourage Yes bettors to try to convince people that they were overconfident and should cancel their limit order.
I will add more guidelines about what is honorable or dishonorable as we see how people use this market.
Resolution Rules
An answer in this market resolves YES if that order is filled or cancelled. Please leave a comment with proof if this happens.
This market will close every Saturday at noon. If an option was submitted in the last week, it stays open for one more week. Then it resolves NO the next Saturday if it is still standing, unfilled and uncancelled.
This is all unless you set a custom expiration date, in which case the order just has to stay up until it expires to resolve YES, and otherwise resolves NO.
The market continues re-opening for as long as I want to run it.
These rules may be updated to better fit the spirit of the market, please comment any suggestions you have for improvements.
Feel free to edit options by boldness if you are a mod.
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ67 | |
| 2 | Ṁ39 | |
| 3 | Ṁ37 | |
| 4 | Ṁ29 | |
| 5 | Ṁ27 |
@DanMan314 Top 10 answers in that market carry over to a poll to resolve, so assuming a few more answers get submitted, this limit order effectively disenfranchises Manifolders with less mana who would like to make known their opinion that Elon is a Russian asset. If there are any. Maybe some kind soul will bankroll them.
@TimothyJohnson5c16 I cancelled the original, but replaced it with a new one that looks like it's still there.
seeking big limit orders on this one (just out of curiosity im not placing one)
/strutheo/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-st
I committed to spending Ṁ25,000 on my personal goal market by the end of May, and I have ~5k left. Given that loans are ending soon I'd like to finish spending it ASAP so some of it can get loaned back.
I know personal goal markets are risky, but 95% is absurdly high for a goal that I've failed at two years in a row. I would legitimately be betting against myself at 50%.
@houstonEuler I propose that it is honorable, though not required, to submit a new order to this market when you take someone else's.