What stocks should one buy to speculate on AGI?
45
Ṁ1.7kṀ5.3k2029
26%
17%
NVIDIA
17%
GOOGL
12%
TSMC
10%
ASML
9%
Microsoft
3%
Tesla
2%
Nokia
2%
FTX debt
1.4%
Apple
1.3%
Amazon
This resolves to 40%, 30%, 20%, and 10% of the top 4 publicly traded AI-related stocks whose price increases by the largest factor as a consequence of fast AI development.
Resolves to N/A if AI progress does not result in a >3x increase of the S&P 500 by the end of 2028.
Resolves according to my judgment. I will not trade in this market from 5 minutes after creation. (Edit: I forgot about this and messed up, but tried to reverse my trades.) I may make modifications to the resolution criteria based on feedback.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@zjmiller @Breadbrowser just pumped it up a bunch, not sure why (especially not sure why anyone is buying anything over 40%, I guess people don't read description)
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Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
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Will OpenAI shares pay a dividend before AGI or by 2031?
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