
Which company will create AGI first?
72
1.9kṀ43132036
24%
DeepMind
17%
OpenAI
15%
Anthropic
13%
xAI
11%
US Government
6%
Communist Party of China
6%
people not employed by a company
3%
2%
Meta
1.6%
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
1.3%
DeepSeek
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
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@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P
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Related questions
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
Will China get AGI first?
33% chance
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?
Will the first AGI be built by Sam Altman?
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