
Which company will create AGI first?
80
Ṁ2kṀ4.7k2036
33%
Anthropic
20%
DeepMind
13%
OpenAI
11%
US Government
5%
people not employed by a company
5%
Communist Party of China
4%
xAI
4%
N/A
4%
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P
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Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2028?
17% chance
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Will AI create the first AGI?
43% chance
By when will we have AGI?
Will China get AGI first?
23% chance
When will the first AGI company get nationalized?
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
When will AGI be developed and released to the public?


