Which company will create AGI first? | Manifold

Which company will create AGI first?

Plus

58

Ṁ3297

2036

28%

OpenAI

18%

DeepMind

12%

US Government

8%

Anthropic

7%

xAI

7%

Other

7%

Communist Party of China

7%

people not employed by a company

3%

Meta

2%

Safe Superintelligence (SSI)

If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Surely this goes up with the recent news

OpenAI makes great products and great infrastructure but let’s be honest they haven’t invented a single thing.

@Gigacasting lol

@Gigacasting But they were the ones to capitalize on the things that others invented.

@Adam I will not resolve to that. If a not listed company creates it first, it will resolve N/A

@FranklinBaldo What if one of these companies buys another? Will it resolve to both?

@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P

Which company will create AGI first?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?

Will AGI come from a company who's primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

When will the first AGI company get nationalized?

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