28
134
Ṁ1.3K2036
1D
1W
1M
ALL
18%
OpenAI
34%
DeepMind
0.2%
Nvidia
0.3%
Tesla
0.1%
eleutherai
1%
people not employed by a company
0.1%
character.ai
4%
microsoft
5%
meta
0.7%
google brain
0.1%
None of the above
25%
Anthropic
3%
Keen
6%
US Government
1.3%
Communist Party of China
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
answered
None of the above
@FranklinBaldo What if one of these companies buys another? Will it resolve to both?
@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P
More related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2035?
51% chance
Who will be first to AGI
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will we get AGI before 2031?
38% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2032?
41% chance
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Will we get AGI before 2030?
32% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
44% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
29% chance