Which company will create AGI first?
63
1.9kṀ39792036
25%
Anthropic
24%
OpenAI
20%
DeepMind
12%
US Government
6%
Communist Party of China
6%
people not employed by a company
4%
1.9%
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
1.5%
DeepSeek
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2027?
10% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
24% chance
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
Will China get AGI first?
27% chance
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance