Which company will create AGI first?
Plus
58
Ṁ32972036
28%
OpenAI
18%
DeepMind
12%
US Government
8%
Anthropic
7%
xAI
7%
7%
Communist Party of China
7%
people not employed by a company
3%
Meta
2%
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2026?
26% chance
Will we get AGI before 2025?
8% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
45% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
49% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
62% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2031?
59% chance
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will we get AGI before 2029?
46% chance