Which company will create AGI first?
73
1.9kṀ43832036
39%
DeepMind
14%
OpenAI
11%
Anthropic
10%
xAI
10%
US Government
5%
Communist Party of China
5%
people not employed by a company
2%
1.3%
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
1.2%
DeepSeek
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?
Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will China get AGI first?
33% chance
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance
Who will be first to AGI
When will the first AGI company get nationalized?
Sort by:
@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P
People are also trading
Related questions
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?
Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will China get AGI first?
33% chance
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance
Who will be first to AGI
When will the first AGI company get nationalized?