Who will be first to AGI | Manifold

Who will be first to AGI

37

1.3kṀ1608

2050

30%

OpenAI

9%

Microsoft

6%

Meta

4%

Huggingface/homegrown

30%

Google

11%

US government

4%

China government

1.7%

Russia government

1.8%

Apple

1.9%

AGI is impossible

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2046?

Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Which company will create AGI first?

In what specific year will we hit AGI?

Sort by:

Missing DeepSeek

Huffing the copium

Does it resolve to AGI is impossible if AGI is possible but not achieved by 2050?

@ProjectVictory Yes

There are a few answers >10% that are missing

What happens if multiple work together?

Would "other" be worthy of being an option?

@Quroe the question is which of these companies will be first out of these companies listed

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2029?

-3% 1d45% chance

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2046?

Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Which company will create AGI first?

In what specific year will we hit AGI?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2046?

Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Which company will create AGI first?

In what specific year will we hit AGI?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules