Who will be first to AGI
51
1.3kṀ25912050
24%
OpenAI
5%
Microsoft
5%
Meta
3%
Huggingface/homegrown
28%
Google
5%
US government
15%
China government
1.3%
Russia government
1.3%
Apple
13%
AGI is impossible
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Will we get AGI before 2028?
19% chance
In what specific year will we hit AGI?
2032
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?
When will AGI be developed and released to the public?
Will we get AGI before 2029?
23% chance
Will we get AGI before September 1st 2027?
16% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
37% chance
Will China get AGI first?
28% chance
Will we get AGI before October 1st 2027?
17% chance
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@jim What if AGI is not impossible and actually happens but none of these companies/governments ever reach it because the AGI is a runaway intelligence and blocks all other forms of AGI from developing?
@BrianBors no problem... but to be clear I'm not the market creator and it's not up to me how this resolves!
@jim Ha! It's good that you mention this because I did interpret it that way and bet on that assumption. XD But that is my fault.
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