
Who will be first to AGI
40
1.3kṀ18812050
32%
OpenAI
10%
Microsoft
4%
Meta
4%
Huggingface/homegrown
29%
Google
8%
US government
5%
China government
1.8%
Russia government
1.9%
Apple
5%
AGI is impossible
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What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2032?
71% chance
Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?
Which company will create AGI first?
What year will mark the first true AGI?
2029
In what specific year will we hit AGI?
2033
When will AGI arrive
Will we get AGI before 2026?
4% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
6% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
82% chance
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@jim What if AGI is not impossible and actually happens but none of these companies/governments ever reach it because the AGI is a runaway intelligence and blocks all other forms of AGI from developing?
@BrianBors no problem... but to be clear I'm not the market creator and it's not up to me how this resolves!
@jim Ha! It's good that you mention this because I did interpret it that way and bet on that assumption. XD But that is my fault.
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What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2032?
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What year will mark the first true AGI?
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