When will the first AGI company get nationalized?
23
1kṀ29692046
1.2%
EOY 2024
34%
2025-2030
10%
2031-2035
4%
2036-2040
3%
2041-2045
47%
2046-∞ or never
All dates are specified inclusively.
"nationalization" of an AGI company means the US government now owns the relevant AGI company or its intellectual property in a way distinct from typical military contracting & mandatory opsec requirements.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2026?
5% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
13% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
26% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
46% chance
Will we get AGI before 2047?
86% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
62% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
68% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
By what year will the first AI lab be nationalized in the US?