
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
14
Ṁ1kṀ1.2k2030
26%
OpenAI
22%
Anthropic
35%
Google
5%
Meta
5%
xAI
2%
Mistral
5%
Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.
This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2036?
57% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
54% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
By when will we have AGI?
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?
Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years?
36% chance
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?