![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FHillaryClinton%2Fvcskkhb0uy.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will Biden lead in the 538 election forecast on June 30th?
Mini
7
Ṁ418Jul 1
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
Whoever has a higher chance of winning.
Yes=Biden
No=Trump
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of June?
50% chance
Will Joe Biden win the first debate against Donald Trump?
53% chance
Will Trump beat Biden in national polling on 538 at the beginning of July?
46% chance
What will Biden's approval rating at 538 be on 6/30?
One month from today, will Biden be leading Trump on FiveThirtyEight's general election poll?
53% chance
Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of September?
52% chance
Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of August?
44% chance
Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of July?
42% chance
Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of October?
55% chance