June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
756
19kṀ410k
resolved Jul 8
Resolved
YES
Biden calls Trump a "Felon" or a "Convicted criminal"
Resolved
NO
Trump and Biden shake hands
Resolved
N/A
6-second silence during answer
Resolved
NO
A candidate says the word "ChatGPT"
Resolved
NO
Abraham Lincoln is mentioned
Resolved
YES
Biden blames Trump for scuttling the immigration deal
Resolved
NO
Biden calls Trump "Pal"
Resolved
YES
Biden closes his eyes for 3 or more seconds continuously
Resolved
NO
Biden gets at least 2 people's name wrong.
Resolved
YES
Biden is physically guided off-stage (such as having a hand on his back, locked arms, or otherwise being physically helped to move or maintain balance)
Resolved
NO
Biden jokes about being old
Resolved
YES
Biden makes a verbal slip up, which Trump turns into an issue about his age
Resolved
N/A
Biden mentions LGBT
Resolved
NO
Biden mentions someone in Trump's family, and/or ex-wives, by name
Resolved
NO
Biden pardons Trump on stage
Resolved
NO
Biden references Trump's being on probation
Resolved
NO
Biden says "my predecessor"
Resolved
NO
Biden says the phrase "white supremacy" or “white supremacists”
Resolved
YES
Biden says the word "folks"
Resolved
YES
Biden says the word "inflation"

Options in this market resolve based on what occurs during the first presidential debate between, currently scheduled for June 27th on CNN. If the event is rescheduled, this market will still resolve based on the first presidential debate.

You can add your own submissions to this market, but please follow these guidelines:

  • Be clear when a submission is about a candidate saying exact words, and use quotation marks around those words to indicate this.

  • Submit answers that might or might not happen, nothing too likely or unlikely.

  • Make your submissions as clear and descriptive as possible.

  • Please do not submit subjective answers, everyone should agree if an option resolves yes or no regardless of their politics.

  • Please do not submit options that require counting multiple instances of something occurring, or anything else that is difficult to keep track of.

  • Please don't submit significantly more answers than anyone else.

  • I reserve the right to resolve any answer as N/A for quality control reasons.

  • Submitted options may be edited to make the resolution criteria more objective.

If no presidential debate ever occurs, all options in this market resolve N/A.

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