Prize Market
This market resolves YES if there is footage of Trump and Biden shaking hands at their first debate in June.
This market is intended to be about the scheduled CNN debate on June 27th, but would also include if that debate were rescheduled or cancelled or cancelled and replaced with another debate, so long as it happens in June 2024.
If they do not shake hands on the day of their debate, or if there is no debate in June, this market resolves NO. This market will be scheduled to close just before the debate, and will resolve the day after.
A handshake is a globally widespread, brief greeting or parting tradition in which two people grasp one of each other's hands, and in most cases, it is accompanied by a brief up-and-down movement of the grasped hands.
Related questions
Now, let's work on getting this straightened out: "brief up-and-down movement of the grasped hands." Is 1-2 pumps enough for it to be determined a handshake? If Trump just grabs Biden's hand for 1 pump and Biden pulls it away and says "Oww man!" was that considered a handshake or an attempted handshake?
@Predictor I would say if their palms touch in the handshake position for even 1/100th of a second it should be enough
Resolution criteria say
two people grasp one of each other's hands, and in most cases, it is accompanied by a brief up-and-down movement of the grasped hands.
Which, by my reading, clearly means that the up-and-down motion is not required for it to count. Would be good to make that explicit!
@jack I don't know who you are, but I would like to hear it from the market creator to be 99% certain I am making the correct bet, especially on a prize market, thank you very much.