This is a "how many?" question (using yes/no format where different resolve% are used for different number answers).

So 8 or less launches in April 2024 and this question resolves at 0%

if 9 launches in April 2024 then resolves at 20%

if 10 launches in April 2024 then resolves at 40%

if 11 launches in April 2024 then resolves at 60%

if 12 launches in April 2024 then resolves at 80%

if 13 or more launches in April 2024 then resolves at 100%

Holding a no position will pay the complement so if there are 10 launches pays 60% of yes position to yes position holders then no position holders will receive 40% of their no position for that holding.

Launch counts if it actually takes-off in tact as intended and is intended to be orbital or very close to that.

Orbital can be as short as 1 complete orbit.

Very close to orbital requires intending final stage to travel at least 50% of way around Earth and either maximum altitude over 150 km or having altitude and speed energy sufficient for a 100km or more altitude circular orbit. (If it appears to be virtually identical flight plan to the third test flight this will count.)

Numbers for recent calendar months are

January 2023 7

February 2023 6

March 2023 8

April 2023 7 (including one Starship launch)

May 2023 9

June 2023 7

July 2023 8

August 2023 8

September 2023 10

October 2023 9

November 2023 10 (including one Starship)

December 2023 9

January 2024 10
February 2024 9
March 2024 13 (including one Starship)

Uses UTC times.

I will extend closing time if the final answer is not clear at that time.