How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
28
1kṀ9234resolved Dec 30
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%98%
3 or 4
0.1%
2 or fewer
2%
5 or 6
0.4%
7 or more
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
Update 2024-30-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Next flight is scheduled for January.
The market will be resolved now based on this scheduled flight.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Next flight is scheduled for January, resolving now (there were 4).
Apparently the FAA thinks there might be as many as 9. https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/02/spacex-seeks-to-launch-starship-at-least-nine-times-this-year/
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