How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
Plus
28
Ṁ9234Jan 1
0.1%
2 or fewer
98%
3 or 4
2%
5 or 6
0.4%
7 or more
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Apparently the FAA thinks there might be as many as 9. https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/02/spacex-seeks-to-launch-starship-at-least-nine-times-this-year/
Related questions
Related questions
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
How many Spacex Starship launches will there be in 2024?
Will SpaceX deploy any Starlink satellites using Starship in 2024?
0% chance
How many launches will SpaceX successfully send to orbit in 2024?
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024?
How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?
How many Starship launches will there be in 2024?
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
SpaceX conducts at least one Starship launch every month in 2025
35% chance
Will Starship launch at least 5 times in 2024?
2% chance