How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)

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27

Ṁ8814Jan 1

0.1%

2 or fewer

98%

3 or 4

1.4%

5 or 6

0.5%

7 or more

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Apparently the FAA thinks there might be as many as 9. https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/02/spacex-seeks-to-launch-starship-at-least-nine-times-this-year/

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