When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?
24
1.9kṀ82832027
1%
Before the end of Jan 2025
4%
Before the end of Feb 2025
5%
Before the end of Mar 2025
5%
Before the end of Apr 2025
6%
Before the end of May 2025
8%
Before the end of Jun 2025
66%
Before the end of Dec 2025
78%
Before the end of 2026
83%
Before the end of 2027
89%
Before the end of 2028
93%
Before the end of 2029
91%
Before the end of 2030
90%
Before US has the first female president
90%
Before Trump serves time in prison
90%
Before human land on mars
81%
Before human set foot on moon again
Resolution criteria same as this polymarket market, except the deadline is different here
https://polymarket.com/event/will-an-ai-win-the-5-million-ai-math-olympiad-prize-before-august
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
84% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
81% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
89% chance
When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
84% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
87% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
91% chance
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?
67% chance
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
91% chance