When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?
Basic
15
Ṁ4084Jan 1
1.6%
Before the end of May 2024
3%
Before the end of Jun 2024
4%
Before the end of July 2024
4%
Before the end of Aug 2024
8%
Before the end of Sep 2024
9%
Before the end of Oct 2024
9%
Before the end of Nov 2024
11%
Before the end of Dec 2024
13%
Before the end of Jan 2025
14%
Before the end of Feb 2025
21%
Before the end of Mar 2025
22%
Before the end of Apr 2025
22%
Before the end of May 2025
26%
Before the end of Jun 2025
36%
Before the end of Dec 2025
30%
Before the end of 2026
48%
Before the end of 2027
55%
Before the end of 2028
62%
Before the end of 2029
43%
Before the end of 2030
Resolution criteria same as this polymarket market, except the deadline is different here
https://polymarket.com/event/will-an-ai-win-the-5-million-ai-math-olympiad-prize-before-august
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
82% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?
45% chance
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
78% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
86% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
82% chance
When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2027?
88% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?
4% chance
Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?
80% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2030?
90% chance